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能源问题在实现新疆跨越式发展过程中的地位日益突出,本文运用单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果关系检验等方法对1990—2010年新疆工业能源消费与经济增长的相关数据进行实证分析,研究结果表明在短期内新疆工业能源消费与经济增长之间存在波动关系,但从长期来看,两者间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,并且存在从工业能源消费到经济增长的单项因果关系。因此,必须采取新的能源发展战略,优化产业结构,促进经济结构向集约化和能源节省性转变;调整能源消费结构,加大对各种新型能源的研究和开发力度。
The issue of energy has become increasingly prominent in the process of striding forward the development of Xinjiang. In this paper, we use the unit root test, cointegration test and Granger causality test to analyze the data of industrial energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang from 1990 to 2010, The results show that there is a fluctuating relationship between industrial energy consumption and economic growth in Xinjiang in a short period of time. However, in the long run, there exists a long-term stable equilibrium between the two and there exists a single causal relationship from industrial energy consumption to economic growth. Therefore, we must adopt a new energy development strategy, optimize the industrial structure, and promote the economic structure to intensive and energy-saving changes; adjust the energy consumption structure, increase the research and development of various new energy sources.