引言最近几年,为了处理日益增多的大量复杂的管理预测问题,发展了许多预测技术。它们各有所长,具体使用时必须小心选择。经理和预测者都应参予选择预测技术;对预测工作可能性的范围了解越深,这个公司在预测工作中所作的努力越能结出丰硕之果。 INTRODUCTION In recent years, many forecasting techniques have been developed in order to deal with the increasing number of complex management prediction problems. They have their own strengths and must be carefully selected for their specific use. Both managers and forecasters should be involved in the selection of predictive technologies; the deeper the understanding of the range of possibilities for predicting work, the more the company’s efforts in the forecasting work will bear fruitful results.