累计百分位数法在传染病疫情预测中的应用魏建军，曾光，李文顺，郭淑惠，李林村，徐涛数理预测方法已广泛地应用于气象和工农业等各个领域。在疾病防治方面，国内外专家亦开展了大量有关疫情预测的研究工作［１－２］．但其预测模型的共同弱点是，对疫情“拐点”判别效率... Application of Cumulative Percentile Method in Prediction of Epidemic Situation of Infectious Diseases Wei Jianjun, Zeng Guang, Li Wenshun, Guo Shuhui, Li Lincun, Xu Tao Mathematical prediction methods have been widely used in various fields such as meteorology, industry and agriculture. In the area of ​​disease prevention and treatment, many domestic and foreign experts also conducted a large number of research work on epidemic prediction [1-2]. However, the common weakness of its forecasting model is that it discriminates the inflection point from the inflection point ...