在分析轨道交通客流的形成机理和国内外常用的轨道交通客流需求分析方法优缺点的基础上 ,提出了一种基于四阶段法改进的轨道交通客流预测方法 ,并对其中的步骤进行了详细的论述 Based on the analysis of the forming mechanism of the passenger flow in rail transit and the advantages and disadvantages of the demand analysis method of the passenger flow in the rail transportation at home and abroad, this paper proposes an improved passenger flow forecasting method based on the four-stage method. The steps of the method are detailed Discussion