中国政府强调要调整好经济结构和管理好通胀预期。不少分析师和官员仍然认为目前通胀压力不大,明年通胀温和。但是,这种判断是建立在两个重要的前提之上的:一是美国经济复苏乏力,美联储相当长时期内不会收紧货币政策,更不会加息,因为通胀和通胀预期温和,失业率较高消费支出疲弱,经济远没有达到潜力增长水平;二是中国经济固定资产投资因为房地产投资可能的下降不会带来 The Chinese government stresses the need to readjust the economic structure and manage inflation expectations. Many analysts and officials still believe the current inflationary pressures are modest and the inflation will be moderate next year. However, this judgment is based on two important premise: First, the United States economy is sluggish, the Fed will not tighten monetary policy for quite a long time, but will not raise interest rates because of mild inflation and inflation expectations and unemployment The higher the rate of consumer spending is weak, the economy has far failed to reach the level of potential growth; Second, China’s economic investment in fixed assets because real estate investment may not bring down