螺纹钢期价前期维持了近一个月弱平衡状态后,自9月8日,受利空因素主导,逐渐下调,至9月22日,J1201下破至最低点4555元/吨,回调幅度接近300个点。我们认为,螺纹钢调整幅度已较大,继续深度调整的可能性不大,但上方继续承压,因此,近期螺纹钢或将弱势调整。“金九”旺季不旺,“银十”需求回升难期建材在经过7、8月需求淡季后,一般将迎来“金九银十”的 After the rebar price kept weak balance in the past month, from September 8, it was dominated by the bearish factor and gradually decreased. As of September 22, J1201 broke down to the lowest point of 4,555 yuan / ton and the callback rate was nearly 300 point. In our opinion, the adjustment of rebar has been relatively large, and it is unlikely that the adjustment will continue. However, the pressure from the top will continue to be weighed down. Therefore, rebar may be subject to weak adjustment in the near future. “Golden September ” peak season is not busy, “silver ten ” demand recovery difficult building materials after the August, August demand off-season, will generally usher in “golden nine silver ten ”