2013年已经落幕,各大智库和机构开始对2014年的经济前景进行展望。来自四家智库的专家对美国、欧洲、中国等主要经济体的前景提出了自己的看法。迈克尔·斯宾塞(Michael Spence,美国外交关系委员会)2014年全球经济走势很可能会重复后危机时代的模式——发展中国家快速发展,美国经济显著复苏,欧洲缓慢增长。随着灵活的私人部门将更多的资源转向外部需求为主的可贸易品,美国经济将以1.5%-2%的实际速度增长。主要的利好因素包括发展中国家的增长(主要是 As 2013 has come to an end, major think tanks and institutions are beginning to look ahead to the economic outlook for 2014. Experts from four think tanks put forward their own views on the prospects of major economies such as the United States, Europe and China. Michael Spence (U.S. Foreign Relations Commission) The global economic trend in 2014 is likely to repeat the pattern of the post-crisis era: the rapid development of developing countries, the remarkable recovery of the U.S. economy and the slow growth of Europe. As the flexible private sector shifts more resources to tradable goods based on external demand, the U.S. economy will grow at an actual rate of 1.5% -2%. The main positive factors include the growth of developing countries (mainly