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大众化进程中成人高等教育的历史贡献及未来发展空间预测。 成人高等教育是我国高等教育的重要组成部分。成人高等教育为中国高等教育体系的建立 ,为丰富多元培养模式、满足多样化的需求 ,为实现我国高等教育从精英到大众化的历史性跨越 ,做出了巨大贡献。在新的历史条件下 ,要实现国家教育部提出的到 2 0 2 0年高等教育的发展目标 ,以我国高等教育现在的培养能力测算 ,必须保持年均4 .9%的发展速度。由此可以推测出成人高等教育在全国实现“高水平大众化”目标中的发展空间 ,即成人高等教育在校生到 2 0 1 0年达到 1 2 94万人左右 ,2 0 2 0年达到 1 1 91万人左右 ;成人高等教育毛入学率2 0 1 0年达到 1 1 .4 % ,2 0 2 0年达到 1 4 .4 %。
The Historical Contributions of Adult Higher Education in the Process of Popularization and the Spatial Prediction of Future Development. Adult higher education is an important part of our higher education. Adult higher education for the establishment of China’s higher education system, in order to enrich the diversified training model to meet the diverse needs of our country to achieve the historic leap from elite to popular made a great contribution. Under the new historical conditions, we must achieve the development target of higher education to 2020 set by the Ministry of National Education. With the current training capability of higher education in our country, we must maintain an average annual growth rate of 4.9%. From this we can speculate that adult higher education in the country to achieve the goal of “high level of popularity,” the space for development, that is, adult higher education students to reach 12.94 million in 2010, reached 1 1 in 2010 910,000. The gross enrollment rate in adult higher education reached 11.4% by 2010 and reached 14.4% by 2020.