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报告预计未来10年中国棉花生产区域布局调整加速,市场机制作用将日益凸显。报告预测,未来10年,中国棉花种植面积、产量将会下降,未来棉花生产布局将向新疆集中,内地棉区将明显萎缩。2024年中国棉花播种面积预计为5346万亩,比2014年下降15.5%;产量为565万吨,比2014年下降13.0%;国内棉花消费受纺织品出口增长限制、棉花替代品不断改进的影响,难以恢复到千万吨的水平,展望期内中国棉花消费量预计将从837万吨缓慢缩减至824万吨,减少1.6%;国内棉花市场调控政策的调整,
The report predicts that the adjustment of the regional layout of China’s cotton production will accelerate in the next 10 years and the role of the market mechanism will become increasingly prominent. The report predicts that the next 10 years, China’s cotton acreage, output will decline, the future cotton production layout will focus on Xinjiang, the Mainland cotton area will significantly shrink. In 2024, the sown area of cotton in China is estimated to be 53.46 million mu, down 15.5% over 2014; the output is 5.65 million tons, down 13.0% over 2014; the domestic consumption of cotton is limited by the growth of textile exports and the continuous improvement of cotton substitutes; China’s cotton consumption is expected to be slowly reduced from 8.37 million tons to 8.24 million tons, a decrease of 1.6%. The adjustment of domestic cotton market control policies,