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根据地震目录统计分析一次强震对外围地区所产生的地震影响空间危险度,在此基础上结合区域地震背景空间危险度及其先发生的若干次强震,通过对研究区域开展地震综合空间危险度空间扫描计算对未来地震危险区进行预测。华北和西南地区地震危险区的实例预测表明,该方法具有一定预测效果,对于分析判定地震危险区可能具有一定的实际意义。
Based on the statistics of earthquake catalog, the spatial risk of a strong earthquake to the surrounding area is analyzed. Based on this, combined with the risk of regional earthquake background and the first occurrence of some strong earthquakes, Degree Spatial Scanning Calculation Predict Earthquake Hazard Area in the Future. The case prediction of the seismic hazard areas in North China and Southwest China shows that this method has a certain prediction effect and may have some practical significance for the analysis and determination of the seismic hazard area.