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Based on the identification and calculation of all inflow and outflow components of Zhangdu Lake, a water balance equation and model is constructed and used to analyse the water balance situation for a current average year. Then, potential climate change scenarios in the future are summarised in the light of studies on climate change, and the trends of annual water level variation in the lake in 2030, 2050, 2080 and 2100 are predicted. In addition, risks on water availability in dry and extremely dry scenarios in the future are analyzed and discussed.
Based on the identification and calculation of all inflow and outflow components of Zhangdu Lake, a water balance equation and model is constructed and used to analyze the water balance situation for a current average year. Then, potential climate change scenarios in the future are summarised in the light of studies on climate change, and the trends of annual water level variation in the lake in 2030, 2050, 2080 and 2100 are predicted. In addition, risks on water availability in dry and extremely dry scenarios in the future are analyzed and discussed .