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本文考察了目前中国国家与地方生产总值数据的修正发布制度;提出“修正系数”这一概念,并利用这一系数,从国家和地方两个层面,对1993~2008年间经济普查对年度生产总值的修正效应进行了测度与观察,得出了若干具有启示性的结论并进而认为:旨在提高数据质量的GDP修正效应本身,也有着一个质量问题。问题的核心是其客观性。为此,作者通过对修正效应与GDP增长速度、人均GDP之间的相关关系的研究,对修正效应的客观性做出了评价。认为,因增长速度和经济发展程度的不同所可能导致的主观偏好差异,在生产总值修正效应中并没有系统性体现;无论国家和地方,中国经济普查对生产总值的修正效应,都是较为客观的。
This paper examines the current revision of China’s national and local GDP data release system; puts forward the concept of “correction coefficient”, and using this coefficient, from both national and local levels, the economic census between 1993 and 2008 The correction effect of annual GDP was measured and observed, and some enlightening conclusions were reached. The conclusion is that the GDP correction effect aimed at improving data quality also has a quality problem. The heart of the problem is its objectivity. To this end, the author evaluates the objectivity of the correction effect by studying the correlation between the correction effect and GDP growth rate and GDP per capita. Argues that the differences in subjective preferences that may be caused by differences in the rate of growth and the degree of economic development are not systematically reflected in the effect of the revision of the gross national product. Both the revision effects of the China Economic Census on the gross national product More objective.