2010年11月份国内粮油市场综述

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2010年以来,国内粮油市场价格在供求、政策等多种因素影响下,总体保持了稳步上涨行情。11月份,秋粮收获上市之际,受大宗商品市场价格涨价的影响,国内粮食市场价格出现了较快的走高态势。食用油市场也在国际市场及国内供求的影响下出现了大幅走高行情。1~11月,国内小麦市场价格在多年的最低收购价连续提高的政策累积效应之下稳步走高。2010年小麦上市之后,市场看涨预期强烈,小麦收购价格快速上涨。之后,在国家不断加大的调控下,小麦收购价格涨幅趋缓。11月份,受外围商品涨价及小麦需求临近旺季的影响,国内小麦市场价格继续保持走强态势,月末有所走弱。2010年以来国内玉米市场价格在减产、需求、政策等多种因素影响下呈现出大幅上涨走势。6月开始,受政策调控,国内玉米市场高位震荡。10月之后,受大宗商品涨价带动,新季玉米价格高开高走,快速上涨。11月末在国家调控措施影响下,开始走弱。2010年以来,国内稻米价格总体持续震荡上扬。新季稻谷上市后,价格普遍高开高走,托市未能启动,新季中晚籼稻及粳稻走强态势更加明显。11月份,秋粮大范围收获上市,价格屡创新高,但月下旬后,因国家调控措施连续出台,局部地区稻米价格高位略有回调,其中米价回落相对明显。受临储政策及国际市场的双重影响,2010年1~4月份国内主产区大豆价格总体在临时收储价格附近平稳运行。5月之后,国内大豆市场价格在外围市场的压力之下走弱;7月下旬至11月上旬,在外盘强势上涨及国内需求回暖带动下,国内大豆现货价格出现连续大幅上涨;受调控政策影响,11月中下旬国内大豆价格略有回落。2010年上半年,国内食用油市场供给充足、价格承压下行。进入第3季度后,油脂进入季节性消费旺季,加上去库存化过程消耗了一部分油脂库存,油脂市场快速反弹。10月开始,受外盘走强带动,油脂价格呈现了继续上涨行情,11月中下旬,受国家调控措施影响,价格出现回落。 Since 2010, the domestic market price of grain and oil has undermined the influence of many factors, such as supply and demand and policy, and has generally maintained a steady upward trend. In November, when the autumn grain harvest came into the market, the price of the domestic grain market showed a rapid rise due to the impact of the price rise of the bulk commodity market. Edible oil market is also under the influence of the international market and domestic supply and demand appeared sharply higher prices. From January to November, the market price of domestic wheat steadily increased under the cumulative effect of a policy of continuously increasing the lowest purchase price of many years. After the listing of wheat in 2010, the market bullish is expected, wheat purchase prices rose rapidly. After that, under the control of the state, the price of wheat rose slowly. Affected by the price hikes of peripheral products and the near-peak season of wheat demand in November, the domestic wheat market prices continued their upward trend and weakened by the end of the month. Since 2010, the domestic corn market prices have shown a sharp rise under the influence of many factors such as production cuts, demand and policies. Beginning in June, subject to policy control, the domestic corn market fluctuated at a high level. After October, driven by the commodity price hike, the new season corn prices went high and went up rapidly. At the end of November under the influence of the national regulatory measures, it started to weaken. Since 2010, the domestic rice price has been on the rise continuously. New rice season after the listing, the price is generally high and high go, care market failed to start, the new season late indica rice and japonica rice stronger trend more pronounced. In November, autumn grain harvest wide range, the price hit record highs, but late in the month, due to the continuous introduction of state regulation and control measures, the rice prices in some areas a slight correction, of which the price of rice fell relatively obvious. Affected by the Pro-Shou policy and the double impact of the international market, from January to April 2010, the price of soybean in the main producing areas of the country generally runs smoothly around the temporary storage and purchase prices. After May, domestic soybean market prices weakened under the pressure of the peripheral market. From late July to early November, spot soybean prices in China continued to rise sharply due to the strong rise in external markets and the pick-up in domestic demand. Affected by the regulatory policies In late November, domestic soybean prices fell slightly. In the first half of 2010, there was ample supply of domestic edible oil market and the price was under pressure. Into the third quarter, the seasonal peak season of oil consumption, coupled with the process of inventory depletion of part of the oil inventories, grease market rebounded rapidly. Beginning in October, driven by the strong external disk, oil prices continued to rally, in late November, affected by the state regulation and control measures, the price dropped.
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