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一、香港经济面临的隐患与挑战 (一)香港现代化是外源型现代化,是亚洲四小龙中唯一没有经历过进口替代工业化的阶段的地区,缺乏支撑强大经济体系的生产力基础。目前香港境内工业已出现工业空心化趋势,长此以往将极大影响服务业的发展,我们应正视这一现实。从根本讲,工业的发展决定着外贸、旅游、房地产、金融、信息、交通运输的发展。据统计,香港工厂数目从1991年的4.9万家减少到1995年的3.1万家,96年9月减至2.7316万家;工业就业人口从1984年的90.5万减少到1997
I. Hidden Pitfalls and Challenges in Hong Kong’s Economy 1. Hong Kong’s modernization is exogenous and is the only one of the four Asian dragons that has not experienced the stage of import substitution and industrialization. It lacks the productive base that underpins a strong economy. At present, the trend of industrial hollowing out in industries in Hong Kong has taken shape. In the long run, the development of the service industry will be greatly affected. We should face this reality squarely. From a fundamental point of view, the development of industry determines the development of foreign trade, tourism, real estate, finance, information and transportation. According to statistics, the number of factories in Hong Kong decreased from 49,000 in 1991 to 31,000 in 1995 and reduced to 27.316 million in September 1996; the number of industrial and employment workers decreased from 905,000 in 1984 to 1997