应用组合预测方法,对浙江省旅游业主要指标的统计数据建立数学模型,对旅游经济发展进行现状分析和前景预测,并探讨了旅游经济对社会经济发展的影响、研究表明所建模型具有很好的拟合精度,较好的刻画了浙江省旅游经济的发展过程,这将为研究和调控旅游经济发展趋势提供有益的参考依据. Applying the method of portfolio forecasting, this paper establishes a mathematical model of the statistical data of the major indicators of tourism in Zhejiang Province, analyzes the current situation and prospects of the tourism economy, and discusses the impact of tourism economy on the social and economic development. The results show that the model has a good performance The fitting precision of Zhejiang tourism economy can better depict the development process of tourism economy, which will provide a useful reference for the study and regulation of the development trend of tourism economy.