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我国国内生产总值(GDP)的准确性和公信力受到部分学者的质疑,其中一个突出的表现是我国地区GDP加总数据与中央GDP数据不一致。本文通过梳理相关文献,发现关于GDP数据准确性问题尚未形成共识,总结出学界解释其原因的四大主流观点。本文从生产法和支出法两个维度对我国GDP历史数据进行分析,提出数据分歧产生的根源之一为我国以投资为主导的经济发展方式。最后,在现有研究基础上,指出地区和中央GDP数据衔接问题的研究方向。
China’s gross domestic product (GDP) accuracy and credibility have been questioned by some scholars, one of the outstanding performance is that China’s regional GDP aggregate data and the central GDP data is inconsistent. By combing the relevant literature, we find that no consensus has been reached on the accuracy of the GDP data, and the four main viewpoints explaining the reasons for this problem are summarized. This paper analyzes the historical data of China’s GDP from the two dimensions of the production method and the expenditure method and points out that one of the root causes of the data disagreement is China’s investment-led economic development mode. Finally, on the basis of the existing research, we point out the research direction of the convergence of regional and central GDP data.