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20世纪80年代末以前主流观点认为自然资源对经济增长有积极的促进作用,但20世纪80年代末以后这种观点逐渐被取代为:一国的自然资源丰裕反而会使该国的经济陷入负增长,这一现象被称为资源诅咒。随后很多学者对这一命题进行实证检验并探寻其传导机制,但是自然资源诅咒并非规律性命题。因为确实存在一些资源富裕的国家,如加拿大、澳大利亚、挪威、博茨瓦纳、印度尼西亚、马来西亚等的经济却在保持高增长。目前人们正在达成一种新的共识:制度因素和政策措施在自然资源丰裕对经济增长的作用中起着重要作用,良好的制度质量和合理的政策措施是克服资源诅咒的关键因素。当一国制度质量是好的,那么自然资源是福音,会促进经济增长;当一国制度质量是差的,那么自然资源是诅咒,会降低经济增长。
The mainstream view before the late 1980s that natural resources have a positive role in promoting economic growth, but gradually replaced by the late 1980s: a country’s abundant natural resources will instead make the country’s economy into negative growth , A phenomenon known as resource curse. Subsequently, many scholars conducted empirical tests on this proposition and probed into its transmission mechanism, but the curse of natural resources is not a regular proposition. Because there are indeed some rich countries, such as Canada, Australia, Norway, Botswana, Indonesia, Malaysia and other economies are maintaining high growth. At present, people are reaching a new consensus: institutional factors and policy measures play an important role in the role of abundant natural resources in economic growth. Good institutional quality and reasonable policies and measures are the key factors to overcome the resource curse. When the quality of a country’s system is good, then natural resources are the gospel and will promote economic growth. When the quality of a country’s system is poor, then natural resources are a curse and will reduce economic growth.