依据近四届奥运会、全运会女子田径成绩,对数据进行处理,分析了我国女子田径运动水平与奥运会女子第8名的差距,估算了超赶速度与超赶所需的时间;预测了2008年奥运会田径第8名与10、11届全运会第1名的成绩,从而估算我国女子田径运动员在2008年奥运会上进入决赛的可能性。 According to the results of the past four Olympic Games and the women’s athletics in the National Games, the data were processed. The gap between the level of female athletics in China and No. 8 in the Olympic Games was analyzed, and the time required for overtaking and overtaking was estimated. 2008 Olympic track and field athletics 8th and 10th, 11th National Games first place results, so as to estimate the possibility of our country female track and field athlete entering the finals in the 2008 Olympic Games.