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本文以钢铁、水泥、电解铝、平板玻璃、船舶等行业为重点,分析了我国目前这一轮产能过剩发展情况、特点趋势及形成原因,提出了化解产能过剩的途径和措施。主要结论是:目前我国这一轮产能过剩受国际金融危机的影响,适逢我国经济由高速增长转为中高速增长、比较优势转换的结构调整阵痛期,具有涉及行业广、持续时间长、影响程度深、化解难度大的特点,传统制造业产能普遍过剩。产能过剩既有市场原因,也有我国经济发展阶段、体制机制、管理方式、发展方式等诸多深层次、非市场因素。化解产能过剩必须坚持标本兼治,治标当前主要是严格控制产能盲目扩张,通过淘汰落后产能、促进企业兼并重组、扩大国内消费、推动企业“走出去”等优化存量产能,促进产业升级;治本要通过深化体制改革、完善政策措施,完善市场主导的行业准入、公平竞争、创新发展、顺利退出、监测预警等长效机制。
This article focuses on steel, cement, electrolytic aluminum, flat glass, shipping and other industries. This paper analyzes the current situation of overcapacity in China, the characteristics of the trend and the formation of reasons for this, put forward solutions to overcapacity and measures. The main conclusion is: At present, this round of overcapacity in our country is affected by the international financial crisis, which coincides with the structural painstaking period of transition from high-speed growth to medium-high speed growth and comparative advantage transformation in our country. It has the characteristics of wide industrial coverage, long duration, Degree of deep, difficult to resolve the characteristics of the traditional manufacturing capacity in general surplus. There are not only market reasons for overcapacity but also many deep-seated and non-market factors such as the stages of economic development, institutional mechanisms, management methods and development modes in China. Resolve the overcapacity must adhere to both the symptoms and the root causes, the main problem is to stop the blind rule of the blind expansion of production capacity, through the elimination of outdated production capacity, and promote corporate mergers and acquisitions, expanding domestic consumption, and promote enterprises “going out ” and other optimized stock capacity, promote industrial upgrading; Through deepening the reform of the system and perfecting the policies and measures, we should improve the long-term mechanism of market-led industry access, fair competition, innovation and development, smooth exit, and early warning monitoring.