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去年10月份,世界银行依据中国贸易体制、政策的演变和1999年10月《中美市场准入协议》、2000年5月《中国与欧盟入世协议》,对中国进入 WTO 后商品贸易自由化进行了评估,用 GTAP 模型的最新版本估计未来中国的经济增长,主要结论有以下八点:——加入 WTO 将对中国贸易的增长产生巨大的影响,中国在世界出口中的份额将从1995年的3.7%上升到2005年的6.3%。——中国从加入 WTO 中所获得的利益将低于美国和欧盟所获得的利益。
Last October, the World Bank relied on the evolution of China’s trade system and policies and the “Sino-US Market Access Agreement” in October 1999 and the “Agreement on Accession to the World Trade Organization between China and the EU” in May 2000 to liberalize trade in goods after China entered the WTO To evaluate and estimate the future economic growth in China with the latest version of the GTAP model, the main conclusions are as follows: - Accession to the WTO will have a huge impact on the growth of China’s trade. China’s share of world exports will rise from 1995 3.7% to 6.3% in 2005. - China will benefit less from its accession to the WTO than the United States and the EU.