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本文构建了包含能源的三要素经济增长核算模型,估算了1952~2012年及不同阶段能源等要素的产出弹性,能源等要素和技术进步对我国工业化时期经济增长的贡献。研究表明:能源产出弹性和能源对经济增长的贡献率仅次于资本,远高于劳动力要素;两要素经济增长核算模型中劳动和资本的产出弹性及对经济增长的贡献,相当部分应归功于能源,能源消费增长在一定程度上是技术进步的体现;包含能源要素的经济增长核算,能更好地揭示经济增长的源泉,反映不同阶段工业化程度和社会经济体制变化。
This paper constructs a three-factor model of economic growth accounting including energy and estimates the contribution of energy and other factors such as output elasticity, energy and other factors and technological progress to the economic growth in China’s industrialization period from 1952 to 2012. The research shows that the contribution rate of energy output elasticity and energy to economic growth is second only to capital, which is much higher than that of labor force. The output elasticity of labor and capital in the two-element model of economic growth accounting and its contribution to economic growth, Thanks to energy, the growth of energy consumption is, to a certain extent, an indication of technological progress. The economic growth accounting, which includes energy elements, can better reveal the source of economic growth and reflect the degree of industrialization in different stages and the changes in social and economic systems.