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为使宏观经济调控能更有效地体现预警性并引导合理预期,本文从典型的生猪规模养殖案例出发,分析了当前经济分析理论中狭义猪粮比价理论的不足,并以定额权重为基础提出了广义猪粮比价优化模型、预警区间和预警点价格。本文从微观看宏观的角度探视价格预警,有效避免了价格预警信息的同质化。广义猪粮比价优化理论的推广运用对进一步优化和细化我国生猪市场宏观调控理论,提升宏观调控质量和效果有一定的引鉴作用。
In order to make the macroeconomic regulation more effective to reflect the early warning and guide the reasonable expectation, this paper analyzes the shortcomings of the current theory of the narrow definition of the pig food parity from the typical cases of pig scale farming. Based on the quota weight, Generalized pig food price optimization model, early warning interval and early warning point price. This article probes the price warning from the macro perspective and effectively avoids the homogenization of the price warning information. The promotion and application of the theory of generalized pig food price optimization has some reference to further optimize and refine macroeconomic regulation and control theory in China’s pig market and improve the quality and effectiveness of macroeconomic regulation and control.