股票市场风险溢出效应测度——基于欧债危机的分析

来源 :江苏社会科学 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:DZLYSSY
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欧洲主权债务危机源起于希腊,随后波及葡萄牙、西班牙、爱尔兰和意大利直至整个欧元区和其他国家.给全球金融市场产生了较大冲击。本文通过股票市场分析欧债危机对不同国家的风险溢出效应,运用VAR和Granger因果关系检验方法将被传染市场分为新兴发展中国家市场、发达国家市场和危机源附近国家市场进行分层分析。实证结果表明,欧元区内法国受到较大影响且具有一定持续性,德国受到的冲击较弱且时间短,而在英国的滞后性较强;对新兴国家市场如中国、印度和俄罗斯三国的溢出效应在平稳期和危机期都很显著;对发达国家澳大利亚和日本市场的
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