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基于农业生产方面的6类碳源,对云南省2003~2012年的农业碳排量进行了测算,并利用LMDI模型对影响云南省农业碳排量的因素进行了分解。结果表明,2003~2012年间云南省农业碳排放量呈不断上升趋势,到2012年,云南省农业碳排量达到319.78万吨。对云南省农业碳排放量增加起驱动作用的因素为农业经济发展水平和农业生产效率,而农业结构因素和农业劳动力规模因素则是抑制碳排放量增加的因素。未来,云南省农业碳排放量仍会不断增加。因此,提出了云南省农业碳减排的措施建议。
Based on six types of carbon sources in agricultural production, the agricultural carbon emissions in Yunnan Province from 2003 to 2012 were estimated. The factors that affected the agricultural carbon emissions in Yunnan Province were decomposed by the LMDI model. The results showed that from 2003 to 2012, agricultural carbon emissions in Yunnan Province showed a rising trend. By 2012, Yunnan’s agricultural carbon emissions reached 3.1978 million tons. The factors driving the increase of agricultural carbon emissions in Yunnan Province are the level of agricultural economic development and agricultural production efficiency, while the factors of agricultural structure and the scale of agricultural labor force are the factors inhibiting the increase of carbon emissions. In the future, agricultural carbon emissions in Yunnan will continue to increase. Therefore, proposed measures of agricultural carbon emission reduction in Yunnan Province.