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针对成都铁路局管内成昆线的运输现状,以及对未来客货运输需求进行预测和分析,得出目前成昆线运输能力已不能满足沿线经济发展的需求,必须进行扩能改造。通过对不同的改造措施进行比较,认为加快战略装车点建设和既有线扩能改造,可以暂时缓解运能压力;而增建成昆二线或双线,是彻底解决运能紧张问题的根本方案。
According to the transportation status of Chengdu-Kunming Railway in Chengdu Railway Administration and the forecast and analysis of future passenger and freight transportation demand, it is concluded that the transportation capacity of Chengdu-Kunming Railway can not meet the needs of economic development along the route at present and must be retrofitted. Through comparing different reform measures, it is considered that quickening the construction of strategic loading point and expanding existing capacity of existing line can temporarily relieve the pressure of transport capacity. The second or the second line of Chengkun-Kunming is the fundamental solution to solve the problem of transport capacity stress completely.