发端于美国的全球金融危机造成了中国经济增速的下降,这使我们不得不重新思考当下出口导向战略的可持续性问题。当前中国的出口导向战略属于粗放型、出口产品可替代且出口市场相对集中的贸易战略。该战略没有显著提高中国贸易福利,还经常遭遇贸易摩擦的困扰,尤其在金融危机条件下。因此,当下的中国出口导向战略不可持续,需要调整。 The global financial crisis that started in the United States caused a decline in China’s economic growth, which forced us to rethink the sustainability of the current export-led strategy. At present, China’s export-oriented strategy belongs to the extensive, export-oriented trade strategy with relatively concentrated export markets. The strategy did not significantly improve China’s trade welfare and often suffered from trade frictions, especially under the financial crisis. Therefore, the current China’s export-oriented strategy is not sustainable and needs to be adjusted.