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人民币初步国际化导致了我国社会形势的深刻变化,在此背景下研究不同贸易方式对经济增长的影响具有十分重要的战略意义。本文通过SVAR模型进行实证研究,得出以下结论:人民币初步国际化前,短期内加工贸易出口、一般贸易进口促进了经济增长;人民币初步国际化后,伴随着贸易对经济增长的间接作用加大,各种贸易模式相互促进的作用更加明显,出口在短期内促进了经济增长,长期中一般贸易进口和加工贸易进口促进了经济增长。最后,针对实证结果,提出了相应的政策建议,旨在为我国的贸易方式的改进提供科学有效的政策意见,促进经济健康有序地发展。
The initial internationalization of RMB has led to profound changes in China’s social situation. It is of great strategic significance to study the impact of different modes of trade on economic growth against this background. In this paper, we carry out an empirical study based on SVAR model, and draw the following conclusions: Processing trade exports before and after RMB initial internationalization and general trade imports promote economic growth. After the initial internationalization of RMB, with the indirect effect of trade on economic growth , The role of various trade modes in promoting each other is more obvious. Exports have promoted economic growth in the short term, and the import of general trade and processing trade in the long run have promoted economic growth. Finally, according to the empirical results, we put forward the corresponding policy recommendations aimed at providing scientific and effective policy advice for the improvement of China’s trade practices and promoting the healthy and orderly development of the economy.