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产业转移作为区域经济活动的重要组成部分,在产业转型升级中扮演着重要角色,因此考察产业转移中经济风险是否具有同金融风险相似的传染性具有重要意义。本文从金融地理视角出发,以中国2000—2009年省际面板数据为基础,通过风险分解和构建表征产业转移中经济风险的指标体系,利用空间计量技术对产业转移中经济风险是否具有传染性以及传染特征进行了实证研究。研究发现,产业转移中经济风险存在着集聚特性和溢出效应,集聚性表现为产业转移中经济风险整体呈现出从东部到西部有逐渐加强的趋势,东部发达地区的风险较低,而西部地区较高,中部地区居中;溢出效应的存在表明产业转移中经济风险具有传染性,且溢出效应的影响随距离递减。
As an important part of regional economic activities, industrial transfer plays an important role in industrial restructuring and upgrading. Therefore, it is of great significance to examine whether the economic risks in industrial transfer have similar contagion with financial risks. Based on the panel data of China’s provinces from 2000 to 2009, this essay, based on the financial geography perspective, explores whether the economic risks of industrial transfer are contagious by means of risk decomposition and construction of an index system that characterizes the economic risks in industrial transfer and Infectious characteristics of an empirical study. The study finds that the economic risk in industrial transfer has the characteristics of agglomeration and spillover. Agglomeration shows that the economic risk in industrial transfer shows a trend of gradually increasing from the east to the west, and the risk in the developed areas of the east is low, while that in the west The middle and high central areas are in the middle. The spillover effect shows that the economic risks in the industrial transfer are contagious, and the impact of the spillover effect decreases with distance.