论文部分内容阅读
2003年以来中国对东盟直接投资规模快速扩张,那么中国对东盟直接投资对双边贸易产生了什么影响呢?对此问题,本文利用2003~2014年中国对东盟直接投资数据及双边贸易数据,考察了中国对东盟直接投资对中国东盟双边贸易的影响。结果显示:中国对东盟直接投资具有显著的出口和进口创造效应,且出口创造效应大于进口创造效应;中国对东盟直接投资对不同类别商品贸易的影响具有差异,对中国向东盟零部件、资本品、消费品的出口和中国向东盟原材料、消费品的进口的影响较为显著。在当前国际贸易摩擦日益增多的背景下,本文的研究将对制定优化中国一东盟双边贸易结构的政策有着积极的借鉴意义。
Since 2003, China’s direct investment in ASEAN rapid expansion of the scale, then China’s direct investment in ASEAN, the impact on bilateral trade? To this issue, this paper from 2003 to 2014, China’s ASEAN direct investment data and bilateral trade data, investigated The Influence of China to ASEAN Direct Investment on China - ASEAN Bilateral Trade. The results show that: China has significant export and import creation effects on direct investment in ASEAN, and the export creation effect is greater than the import creation effect; the impact of China’s direct investment in ASEAN on the trade of different types of goods is different. China’s contribution to the ASEAN parts and components, , The export of consumer goods and the import of raw materials and consumer products from China to ASEAN are more significant. Against the background of increasing international trade frictions, the research in this paper will have a positive reference for the formulation of a policy to optimize bilateral trade between China and ASEAN.