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近期国家房地产调控政策效果开始显现,大多数城市房价止涨回稳,部分城市房价开始下调。由于房地产相关产业众多,与银行信贷、地方融资平台也有密切的关系,房价下跌开始引发社会和媒体关注,甚至认为房价即将崩盘并引发一系列系统风险,同时国际社会唱空中国的言论也不时出现。我们认为,分析中国房地产市场,需要从中国的特殊国情出发。既本规律在1890～2007年长达120年的历史中,美国房市崩盘仅发生过两次:一次是在一战前至二战结束,房地产整体疲弱;第二次就是始于2006年
The effect of the recent national real estate regulation and control policies began to appear, stop rising prices stabilized in most cities, housing prices began to decline in some cities. Due to the large number of real estate-related industries, there is also a close relationship with bank credit and local financing platforms. The drop in housing prices started to arouse the attention of the society and the media. Even housing prices are about to collapse and lead to a series of systemic risks. At the same time, the international community’s remarks on empty China appear from time to time . In our opinion, analyzing the real estate market in China needs to proceed from the special conditions of China. Not only did this rule occur in the history of 120 years from 1890 to 2007, the collapse of the U.S. housing market occurred only twice: once before the end of World War II and the end of World War II, and the overall weakness of the real estate industry. The second one started in 2006