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为了剔除中间进口品带来的出口碳排放增加的影响,文章在非竞争型投入产出模型下测算了1997~2010年中国18个制造行业以及三大产业农业、工业和服务业的出口含碳强度和进口含碳强度,估算了各个部门以及行业的贸易污染指数,并从贸易规模、贸易结构、能源消费偏向、投入产出系数、贸易地缘结构、三次产业结构等方面分析了中国出口含碳强度变化的原因,指明中国向发展中国家的进口省能量大于出口耗能量,发达国家正好相反。三大产业中农业的污染贸易条件指数最为不利,投入吸收系数决定了部门能源排放结构。
In order to eliminate the impact of the increase in export carbon emissions caused by the import of intermediate products, the article estimates the carbon content of carbon emissions from exports of 18 manufacturing industries and three industries of agriculture, industry and service from 1997 to 2010 in the non-competitive input-output model Strength and carbon intensity of imports, estimated the trade pollution index of various departments and industries, and analyzed the carbon content of China’s exports from the aspects of trade size, trade structure, energy consumption bias, input-output coefficient, trade geography structure and tertiary industry structure The reason for the intensity change indicates that the energy input from China to developing countries is greater than the energy consumption from exports, and the developed countries are just the opposite. The index of agricultural trade in pollution among the three major industries is the most unfavorable index. The input absorption coefficient determines the sector’s energy emission structure.