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改革开放30年来,中国经济的持续高速增长与国民收入的不断提高都与中国城市化进程的不断深入息息相关。虽然已有学者研究过中国城市化与经济发展的相互关系,但大多数只是单纯地就城市化与经济增长这两个方面做出研究,而没有突出影响城市化与经济增长的其它因素。本文选取1978—2008年间的时间序列数据,通过构建联立方程模型,采用两阶段最小二乘估计的方法,并综合影响城市化与经济发展的诸因素来考察两者之间的相互关系。
In the 30 years since the reform and opening up, the sustained and rapid economic growth in China has been closely related to the continuous deepening of the urbanization in China due to the continuous improvement of national income. Although some scholars have studied the interrelationship between urbanization and economic development in China, most of them only study the two aspects of urbanization and economic growth without highlighting other factors that affect urbanization and economic growth. In this paper, the time series data from 1978 to 2008 are selected. The two-stage least-squares estimation method is adopted by constructing the simultaneous equations model, and the relationship between the two factors is examined by comprehensively considering the factors influencing the urbanization and economic development.