消费是保持我国经济可持续发展的永恒动力,浙江省作为我国经济最发达、人均收入水平最高的省份之一,经济发展取得了巨大的成就。在经济转型期,城乡收入差距的扩大,就业、教育医疗、住房等社会保障性制度改革的不完善,导致居民消费环境不确定性因素的增加,预期消费风险加大。本文以浙江省城乡居民收入差距、不确定性为研究对象进行研究分析,运用Johansen协整检验和误差修正进行长短期分析,基于实证分析得出的结论,为政府如何做出缩小城乡收入差距、降低不确定性来促进消费提出相应的政策建议。 Consumption is the eternal motive force for maintaining the sustainable development of our economy. As one of the provinces with the most developed economy and the highest per capita income in our country, Zhejiang has made tremendous achievements in its economic development. In the period of economic restructuring, the widening income gap between urban and rural areas, the incomplete reform of the social security system such as employment, education, medical care and housing have led to the increase of uncertainties in the consumption environment of residents and an expected increase in consumer spending. In this paper, we study on the income gap and uncertainty of urban-rural residents in Zhejiang Province. We use the Johansen co-integration test and error correction to analyze the short-term and short-term. Based on the conclusion drawn from the empirical analysis, how to make the government reduce the income gap between urban and rural areas, Reduce the uncertainty to promote consumption to make the appropriate policy recommendations.