我国东部地区冬季模式边界层探空效果评估

来源 :高原气象 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:chubiao5201314
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
应用中尺度气象模式MM5对2006年和2007年12月东部地区进行逐日模拟,并用地面常规观测资料及南京和安庆12h一次的逐日探空资料对模拟的地面及边界层内气象要素进行检验,计算地面和边界层内不同高度的温度、湿度、风向和风速等要素的多种常用统计参数;并分别评估雾发生前和发生时边界层探空的模拟效果。结果表明:(1)MM5模式模拟的地面温度和湿度均较理想,但风速误差较大。温度、相对湿度、风速的观测与模拟的偏差概率分布均呈近正态分布,峰值中心分别为-1.52℃、4.59%和1.92m·s-1,白天模拟效果优于夜间。(2)以南京、安庆两站为例,模拟的08:00(北京时,下同)和20:00边界层内探空基本可靠,但20:00的效果比08:00好;模拟效果均随高度上升而变好;且南京站边界层内温度、湿度的模拟效果优于安庆站,但安庆站风的模拟效果优于南京站。(3)以南京站为例,雾发生前和发生时温度、湿度模拟效果较平均情况差,风速模拟较其他模拟时段无明显变化。(4)南京、安庆冬季近地层逆温发生频率都比较高,常见多层逆温,MM5模式能再现近地层逆温,但有高估的倾向,且对边界层中上部逆温模拟效果不佳。此外,敏感性试验的结果表明,模拟方案中地面负的温度偏差不是由近地层高垂直分辨率所致。“,”To assess the performance of MM5in simulating the meteorological parameters in the planetary boundary layer(PBL),Meteorological elements of PBL in east China in December of 2006and 2007 were simulated by MM5.The simulation results were assessed objectively by the ground convention observation data and daily sounding data at Nanjing and Anqing stations at 08:00and 20:00.Some common used statistical parameters of temperature,relative humidity,wind direction and wind speed at surface and different levels in PBL were calculated.And simulation effect of sounding in PBL before fog and during fog were assessed,respectively.The results show that:(1)the simulated temperature and relative humidity were reliable at the ground level,but the error of simulated wind speed was more.Frequency distributions of the biases between simulated and observation temperature,relative humidity and wind speed are nearnormal distribution,and peak values are-1.52℃,4.59% and 1.92m·s-1,respectively.The simulation effect in daytime is better than in nighttime.(2)Take Nanjing and Anqing stations for example,the simulated sounding in PBL at 08:00and 20:00were acceptable,and the effect at 20:00was better than that at 08:00.Simulation effect of temperature and relative humidity in PBL at Nanjing station was better than that at Anqing station,but wind speed at Anqing was better.(3)Take Nanjing as an example,simulation effect of temperature and relative humidity during the fog and before fog days were worse than normal,but wind speed had no significant difference.(4)The frequently of temperature inversion near surface were more than 40%in Nanjing and 30%in Anqing in winter.Temperature inversion near surface reappeared but overrated by model,and simulation effect in middle-to-upper boundary layer was not good.In addition,According the results of numerical sensitivity test,the high vertical resolution near surface was not necessary the bias of negative temperature at the ground level in modeling scheme.
其他文献
利用1960—2009年气象观测资料,对安徽省128次龙卷的气候特征和环流背景进行了分析,结果表明,龙卷多发于4-9月平原丘陵地带的江淮东部,而山区极少,20世纪80年代以后龙卷明显
小学语文教学中的情感教育,可以从细微之处入手,激发学生的情感共鸣,以情激情,确保学生在参与语文教学活动的过程中深刻感知语言文化内涵,在增强学生语文知识储备的同时,提高学生的
期刊
阅读在小学语文教学中有着非常重要的作用.教师首先要教给学生阅读的方法,如果方法得当,就能收到事半功倍的效果;朗读是阅读的基础,加强对小学生的朗读训练对提高他们的阅读
为探究吕家坨井田地质构造格局,根据钻孔勘探资料,采用分形理论和趋势面分析方法,研究了井田7
期刊
新一代天气雷达VAD(Velocity Azimuth Display)风作为多层次水平风矢量的垂直廓线,具有时间频次高、易与业务数值预报模式分辨率相匹配、影响质量因素复杂等特点。在数值预报中
语文课程标准(2011版)中明确指出:语文课程是学生学习运用祖国语言文字的课程,学习资源和实践机会无处不在,无时不有。因而,应该让学生多读、多写、日积月累,在大量的语文实践中体会
期刊
为探究吕家坨井田地质构造格局,根据钻孔勘探资料,采用分形理论和趋势面分析方法,研究了井田7
期刊
对于小学数学教育教学,建构学习是诊断性的、反思性的学习,即学生必须开展自我预习、自我参与、自我检测等活动,以判断学习中所追求的是否是自己设置的目标,“自主学习”是其
A channel-drop filter has been designed based on the two-dimensional triangular-lattice hole photonic-crystal structure, which consists of two line defects and
期刊