一、方法与模型全要素生产率的估算方法可以归结为两大类:一类是增长会计法,另一类是经济计量法。前者是以新古典增长理论为基础,估算过程相对简单,考虑因素较少,但较为粗糙;后者则以各种经济计量模型为工具,全面地考虑了各种因素的影响,但估算过程较为复杂。本文采用索洛残差法进行估算,并且选用典型的柯布-道格拉斯生产函数(C-D)进行研究。设定生产函数为:Y=AF(K,L),具 I. Methods and Models Methods for estimating total factor productivity can be summarized in two broad categories: one is growth accounting and the other is econometrics. The former is based on the neo-classical growth theory, the estimation process is relatively simple, the consideration is less, but more rough; the latter is based on a variety of econometric models as a tool to fully consider the impact of various factors, but the estimation process is more complex. This paper uses the Solow residual method to estimate, and selects the typical Cobb-Douglas production function (C-D) to study. Set the production function: Y = AF (K, L), with