论文部分内容阅读
利用1996-2010年27个省(市)的省际面板数据,基于非参数核估计方法,建立农村居民八大消费支出与国内生产总值(GDP)的变系数固定效应半参数计量经济模型,实证分析了我国东、中、西部农村居民消费结构对经济增长影响的区域差异性。计算显示半参数面板数据模型的平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方误差(MSE)相比线性面板数据模型显著的减小,模型分析结果表明,东部地区农村居民各类消费支出对经济增长贡献排列顺序依次为教育文化娱乐-食品-其他杂项-家庭设备-交通通讯-居住-衣着-医疗保健;中部为其他杂项-家庭设备-交通通讯-衣着-医疗保健-教育文化娱乐-食品-居住;西部地区为家庭设备-交通通讯-其他杂项-食品-医疗保健-居住-教育文化娱乐-衣着。最后,根据分析结果提出相关的政策性建议。
Based on the panel data of 27 provinces (cities) from 1996 to 2010 in China, a semi-parametric econometric model with variable coefficient fixed effects of consumption expenditure and GDP of rural residents was established based on the non-parametric kernel estimation method. Analyzes the regional differences of the influence of the consumption structure of rural residents in the east, middle and west of China on the economic growth. Computation shows that the mean absolute error (MAE) and mean square error (MSE) of the semiparametric panel data model are significantly reduced compared to the linear panel data model. The results of the model analysis show that the contribution of various types of consumer expenditures of rural residents in the eastern region to economic growth ranks The order is for education, culture and entertainment - food - other miscellaneous - family equipment - traffic and communication - living - clothing - health care; middle for other miscellaneous - family equipment - traffic and communication - clothing - health care - education and cultural entertainment - food - living; Areas for home appliances - Transportation - Other miscellaneous - Food - Healthcare - Living - Education Culture Entertainment - Clothing. Finally, based on the analysis of the relevant policy recommendations.