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与其他合成橡胶相比,乙丙橡胶需求增长较快。近年来全球对乙丙橡胶的需求量年均增长率保持在4%~5%,但各地区市场发展不平衡,美国等发达国家和地区乙丙橡胶供大于求,过剩10%~15%,而以中国为首的亚太地区市场需求量则连年保持2位数增长,成为全球乙丙橡胶装置和市场开拓的焦点。预计到2009年年底我国乙丙橡胶年生产能力至少达到4.5万t,2010年后有望达到7万~12万t,如果达到12万t,国内乙丙橡胶市场供需矛盾将得到极大缓解,进口量将显著减小,如果只达到7万t,则有近50%的市场缺口需要依赖进口解决。
Compared with other synthetic rubber, ethylene-propylene rubber demand growth faster. In recent years, the global average annual growth rate of ethylene-propylene rubber remains at 4% ~ 5%, but the regional market development is not balanced, the United States and other developed countries and regions ethylene-propylene rubber oversupply, the surplus of 10% to 15% The market demand in the Asia Pacific region led by China is growing at 2-digit rates year after year and has become the focus of the global ethylene propylene rubber plant and market development. It is expected that the annual production capacity of ethylene-propylene-propylene rubber in China will reach 45,000t by the end of 2009 and 70,000- 120,000t after 2010, and if it reaches 120,000t, the contradiction between supply and demand in the domestic ethylene-propylene rubber market will be greatly alleviated and the import The amount will be significantly reduced, if only 70,000 t, nearly 50% of the market gap need to rely on imports to solve.