预计连玉米1401合约因供给压力凸显,还处于下行通道中,中长期下跌行情的底部预估为2270元/吨。首先,国内玉米全年供给有余,进口快速增加,冲击国内玉米市场。目前国内玉米已进入灌浆乳熟期,大部分产区天气较适宜玉米生长。从调研信息反馈看,虽然前期东北玉米生长遭受灾害,但总产量估计仍超过去年。具体估计而言,吉林、黑龙江玉 1401 contract is expected to contract due to supply pressure highlights, is still in the downward path, the bottom mid-term decline in the estimated 2270 yuan / ton. First of all, there is more supply of domestic corn throughout the year, with the rapid increase of imports and the impact on the domestic corn market. At present, domestic corn has entered the grouting milky period, and the weather in most producing areas is more suitable for corn growth. Feedback from the survey information, although the early growth of northeast corn suffered a disaster, but the total output is still estimated last year. Specific estimates, Jilin, Heilongjiang jade