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采用非限制误差修正模型(UECM)分析了劳动力的投入、资本劳动力的比率和开放度对我国汽车产业总产值的影响,利用界限检验和协整模型,估算了这些因素对总产值的长期和短期弹性.结果发现,无论从长期还是短期而言,劳动力对总产值有负的影响,资本劳动力比对总产值有正的影响;开放度仅在长期对总产值有正且显著的影响.最后对如何提高我国汽车产业竞争力提出了相应的对策建议.
Using UECM to analyze the impact of labor input, capital labor ratio and openness on the total output value of China’s automobile industry, using the limit test and the cointegration model, we estimate the impact of these factors on the output value of the long-term and short-term The results show that the labor force has a negative effect on the output value both in the long run and in the short run, the capital labor force has a positive impact on the output value, and the openness only has a positive and significant impact on the output value in the long run. How to improve the competitiveness of China’s automobile industry put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.