过去20年中国的经济发展成就巨大,相伴而来的是自然资源的大量消耗。改革开放以来,能源消费的弹性系数平均为0.54,今后15年按0.5计算,能源消费年均增长速度按3.75%计算,到2020年,中国能源消费总量大约将达到38亿吨标准煤。实现未来15年的发展目标,能源、资源和环境是最大的制约因素。中国已经成为世界上能源消费最多的国家之一,而且很依赖进口,中国 The great achievements made by China in economic development in the past two decades have come with the massive consumption of natural resources. Since the reform and opening up, the elasticity coefficient of energy consumption is 0.54 on average, 0.5 for the next 15 years and 3.75% for the average annual growth rate of energy consumption. By 2020, the total energy consumption in China will reach 3.8 billion tons of standard coal. To achieve the development goals of the next 15 years, energy, resources and the environment are the major constraints. China has become one of the countries with the most energy consumption in the world and is very dependent on imports. China