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在全球金融危机的背景下,惟有对其产生的原因、趋势等进行理性、科学的分析,才能增强应对经济危机的主动性和有效性。对中国和美国这两个目前全球最为重要的经济体进行客观、理性的分析,对于深刻地认识这场经济波动、有效地应对这场经济危机意义重大。美国本轮经济危机是一次非传统的具有典型前瞻意义的“消费膨胀性”危机,而中国本轮经济波动,虽然主要是受全球经济危机的影响,但又是由工业过程中的传统动因引起的,是一次缺陷性结构导致的“生产过剩型”的波动。因此,中国应对本轮经济波动,既要关注国际经济问题,更重要的是要在本国进行一场包括社会改革在内的整体性外科手术式的改革。
In the context of the global financial crisis, only by analyzing its causes and trends rationally and scientifically can we be more proactive and effective in coping with the economic crisis. An objective and rational analysis of China and the United States, the two most important economies in the world today, is of great significance in understanding this economic turmoil and effectively coping with this economic crisis. The current round of economic crisis in the United States is a non-traditional crisis of typical “forward-looking” consumption downturn. The current round of economic fluctuations in China, though mainly affected by the global economic crisis, is caused by the traditional motives in the industrial process Is a “structural overproduction” caused by a defective structure. Therefore, China should deal with the current round of economic fluctuations by focusing not only on international economic issues, but more importantly, conducting a holistic surgical reform in its own country, including social reforms.