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本文通过收集2003年1月至2012年12月财政收入与财政支出的月度数据,运用时间序列数据的计量分析方法,首先进行单位根检验和协整关系,描述二者之间的长期均衡关系,其次由格兰杰因果关系检验得出财政收入对财政支出的单向传导机制,最后在实证分析的基础上对我国财政收入与支出提出相应的对策和建议。
By collecting the monthly data of fiscal revenue and financial expenditure from January 2003 to December 2012 and using the econometric method of time series data, this paper first conducts unit root test and cointegration relationship, describes the long-term equilibrium relationship between the two, Second, Granger causality test results out the one-way transmission mechanism of fiscal revenue to financial expenditure. Finally, based on the empirical analysis, we put forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions on the fiscal revenue and expenditure of our country.