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近年来,我国经济快速发展,随着经济发展,收入不断增加,金融机构存款余额也有了较快发展。为研究金融机构存款余额与经济发展关系,本文以海南为例,采用海南省1990年到2010年的全社会金融机构存款余额以及国内生产总值的数据,运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型对金融机构存款余额和GDP的关系进行实证分析。分析结果表明,从长期来看金融机构存款余额对经济发展有较强的促进作用,短期内金融机构存款余额的增加对经济的发展促进作用稍强于长期。
In recent years, with the rapid economic development in our country, along with the economic development and increasing income, the deposit balance of financial institutions has also developed rapidly. To study the relationship between the deposit balance of financial institutions and economic development, this paper takes Hainan as an example, using the data of deposit balance and GDP of all social financial institutions in Hainan Province from 1990 to 2010, using the cointegration test and Granger causality test And error correction model of the financial institutions deposit balance and GDP empirical analysis. The analysis shows that in the long run, the deposit balance of financial institutions has a strong promoting effect on the economic development. In the short term, the increase in the deposit balance of financial institutions has a slightly stronger effect on economic development than in the long run.