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上半年宏观经济形势好于预期,主要投资的强劲增长及出口增长明显超过预期。“三快”是指投资、工业和出口保持较快增长势头,“两落”则是消费和财政收入增幅明显放慢,“三降”是企业效益下降、物价总水平持续走低和新增就业岗位减少。 要高度重视物价水平长期走低以及货币供应偏紧可能对经济发展产生的危害。因为这意味着现实经济增长率将有可能长期低于潜在水平,大量的资源得不到充分利用,经济增长质量和效益也就难以提高,甚至会出现不断下降,长此以往,还会对社会稳定产生严重影响。
The macroeconomic situation in the first half of the year was better than expected, with strong growth in major investments and export growth clearly exceeding expectations. “Three fast” means that investment, industry and exports maintain relatively rapid growth. “Two falls” mean a marked slowdown in the growth of consumption and fiscal revenue. “Three reductions” are the result of a decline in corporate profits, a continued decline in the general price level and the addition of new jobs Post reduction. It is necessary to attach great importance to the long-term drop in price levels and the danger that economic growth may be caused by the tight monetary supply. Because this means that the real economic growth rate will likely be below the potential level for a long time, a large amount of resources will not be fully utilized, the quality and efficiency of economic growth will hardly increase, or even continue to decline. In the long run, social stability will also occur Serious impact.