制定林业系统发展战略和目标,不但要掌握森林资源的目前状态,更需要采用科学方法预测未来的消长动态,以便为我们提供科学依据。本文应用华中工学院邓繁龙教授创立的灰色理论,把林业系统看作为一个灰色系统,借助电子计算机,对辉南森林经营局实测的时间数列进行随机弱化处理,用微分方 To formulate strategies and objectives for the development of the forestry system not only needs to grasp the current status of forest resources but also need to adopt scientific methods to predict future growth and decline in order to provide us with scientific evidence. This paper applies the gray theory established by Professor Deng Fanlong of Huazhong University of Science and Technology to regard the forestry system as a gray system. By means of electronic computer, the time series measured by Huinan Forest Management Bureau is randomly weakened,