论文部分内容阅读
文章围绕中等收入陷阱与知识、全要素生产率三者之间的关系,沿着中等收入陷阱的表象-陷入中等收入陷阱的机制-实证陷入陷阱的临界条件-跨越中等收入陷阱的路径选择的思路展开。经过理论与实证研究发现:(1)中等收入陷阱是多重均衡的经济运行过程中低水平均衡的表现;(2)形成低水平均衡的原因在于经济体进入中等收入初期时,知识存量占比低于门槛水平;(3)实证求得知识存量占比初值的门槛值为1.9154,若低于该值则经济收敛于低水平均衡,且知识存量占比对经济发展产生负作用,反之则反是;(4)中国的创新效率与发达国家之间的差距依然存在,提升知识存量占比进而顺利跨越中等收入陷阱的有效路径是有效提高R&D投入效率以及加大企业的创新规模等。
The article centers on the relationship between the middle-income trap and the knowledge and the total factor productivity, along the appearance of the middle-income trap - the mechanism of falling into the middle income trap - the empirical critical condition of falling into the trap - the train of thought that crosses the middle income trap . After theoretical and empirical studies, it is found that: (1) The middle-income trap is a manifestation of the low-level equilibrium in the process of economic operation with multiple equilibria; (2) The reason for the formation of low-level equilibrium is that when the economy enters the initial stage of middle income, the proportion of knowledge stock (3) The threshold value of the initial value of the empirical stock knowledge stock is 1.9154. If it is lower than this value, the economy will converge at a low level of equilibrium and the proportion of knowledge stocks will have a negative effect on economic development, and vice versa (4) The gap between China’s innovation efficiency and the developed countries still exists. The effective path to increase the proportion of knowledge stocks and thus to cross the middle-income trap is to effectively improve R & D investment efficiency and increase the innovation scale of enterprises.