当前,全球经济复苏脆弱,世界经济大幅度波动的风险相当高,在相当程度上已经到了系统性风险的地步。当前存在的系统性风险不仅仅在于单纯经济方面的系统性风险,如意大利债务对欧洲金融体系的潜在冲击、初级产品行情波动对众多新兴市场经济体整个国民经济的冲击、日本安倍经济学失败、美国资产市场泡沫重新膨胀等问题,而且在于经济变动引发社会政治动荡的社会政治系统性风险。从委内瑞拉、巴西的政治动荡,到前些天爆 At present, the global economic recovery is fragile. The risk of a drastic global economic fluctuation is quite high, to a considerable extent, it has reached a systemic risk. The current systemic risks lie not only in the systemic risks of purely economic aspects such as the potential impact of the Italian debt on the European financial system, the impact of volatile primary commodity prices on the entire national economy of many emerging market economies, the failure of Japan’s Abenomics, The resurgence of the bubble in the U.S. asset market and other issues, but also the systemic and political risks of social and political instability caused by economic changes. From the political turmoil in Venezuela and Brazil, it exploded a few days ago