论文部分内容阅读
在世界宏观经济疲软大背景下,产出已不再是盈利的必要条件。在边际成本法下,利润与销售量直接相关,而与产量无关。这就是说,无论生产多少油品,如果卖不出去,同样变不成利润。目前全球炼油能力为9600万桶/天,正在投建的总投资逾5500亿美元的800个炼油项目,将使全球炼油能力到2020年增至1.1亿桶/天水平,届时炼油商都将吞咽产能过剩带来的苦果。而对我国石油企业而言,下游板块面临的苦恼不仅仅是产能过剩,还有布局相对分散、低效落后产能明显偏大、产品附加值不高、装置效率较低、结构调整、转型升级阻力大、市场竞争无序等一系列问题。这些问题能否有效化解,是我国炼油化工业能否实现可持续发展的关键。
In the context of a weak global macroeconomic environment, output is no longer a necessary condition for profitability. Under marginal cost method, profit is directly related to sales volume, but has nothing to do with output. This means that, no matter how much oil is produced, it can not make any profit if it can not be sold. At present, the global refining capacity is 96 million barrels / day. The 800 refineries under construction with a total investment of more than 550 billion U.S. dollars will increase the global refining capacity to 110 million barrels per day by 2020, when the refiners will swallow capacity Excess bitter fruit. As for the oil enterprises in our country, the downstream plate is not only suffering from over-capacity, but also the layout is relatively decentralized. The inefficient and backward production capacity is obviously large, the added value of the products is not high, the installation efficiency is low, structural adjustment and resistance to transformation and upgrading Large, market competition disorder and a series of issues. Whether these problems can be effectively resolved is the key to whether China’s oil refining industry can achieve sustainable development.