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本文以上海文化创意产业为例,对文化创意产业的产业关联与波及效应进行了实证分析。结果表明:上海文化创意产业与国民经济各部门产业存在紧密的后向关联关系,且关联度呈上升态势;同时与国民经济各部门产业也存在前向关联关系,但前向关联度呈下降态势。上海文化创意产业对少数几个产业产品的消耗度较高,所以必须优化上海的产业结构。上海文化创意产业对国民经济的影响作用在增强,而上海文化创意产业受国民经济发展的影响却大大减弱;产业感应度也大幅下降,表明上海文化创意产业并未与国民经济其他产业真正融合对接。另外,上海文化创意产业受消费的影响较大,是典型的“消费依赖型”产业,出口和投资对上海文化创意产业发展的影响有减弱态势。
Taking Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries as an example, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the industrial relations and ripple effects of cultural and creative industries. The results show that there is a close backward relationship between the cultural and creative industries in Shanghai and the industries in various sectors of the national economy, and the degree of association is on the rise; at the same time, there is also a positive relationship with the industries in various sectors of the national economy, but the degree of forward connection is declining . Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries have a high degree of consumption on a few industrial products, so Shanghai’s industrial structure must be optimized. The impact of Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries on the national economy is on the rise and the influence of the cultural and creative industries on the development of the national economy in Shanghai is greatly weakened. The sensitivity of the industry also drops sharply, indicating that Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries have not really merged with other industries in the national economy . In addition, Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries are heavily influenced by consumption and are typical “consumer-dependent” industries. The impact of exports and investment on the development of Shanghai’s cultural and creative industries is weaker.