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今年以来,国际经济环境有所好转,主要贸易伙伴经济出现回暖迹象,国内经济温和复苏,外贸扶持政策效果显现,我国外贸进出口增长情况好于预期。预计在世界经济缓慢增长,国内需求趋于回升等因素影响下,二季度外贸进出口将呈现平稳增长态势,出口增长10%左右,进口增长8%左右,顺差略有扩大。建议针对外贸领域存在的短期资本流入、汇率升值等问题,加强资本监管,扩大人民币互换范围,降低企业成本,鼓励企业海外投资。
Since the beginning of this year, the international economic environment has improved. The main trading partners have shown some signs of recovery. The domestic economy has recovered gently and the foreign trade supportive policies have shown their effects. The growth of China’s foreign trade and imports has been better than expected. Expected to be slow growth in the world economy, domestic demand tends to pick up and other factors, the import and export trade in the second quarter will show a steady growth, exports increased by about 10%, imports increased by about 8%, a slight increase in surplus. It is suggested that the government should strengthen supervision on capital, expand the scope of RMB exchange, reduce the cost of enterprises, and encourage enterprises to invest overseas in the light of short-term capital inflows and exchange rate appreciation in foreign trade.